Mortgage Rates

Mortgage And Refinance Charges As we speak, Aug. 13

mortgage-and-refinance-charges-as-we-speak-aug-13

Today’s mortgage and refinancing rates

Average mortgage rates fell just inches yesterday. But the decline was even smaller than on Wednesday. And they have barely left a dent in recent increases. Still, as Freddie Mac’s chief economist stated yesterday: “Despite the increase, interest rates remain very low, especially given the strong economic growth that will continue into next year.”

The markets were the first to signal this Mortgage rates could go down again today. But these early signals have proven unreliable in the past few days.

Find a cheap rate and block it (August 14, 2021)

Current mortgage and refinancing rates

program Mortgage rates Effective interest rate* change
Conventionally fixed for 30 years 2.82% 2.82% Unchanged
Conventionally fixed for 15 years 1.997% 1.997% + 0.01%
Conventional 20 years old 2.49% 2.49% Unchanged
Conventionally fixed for 10 years 1,875% 1.921% + 0.02%
30 years permanent FHA 2,689% 3,344% Unchanged
15 years fixed FTA 2.4% 3,001% -0.03%
5/1 ARM FHA 2.5% 3.213% Unchanged
30 years of permanent VA 2,298% 2,469% + 0.02%
15 years fixed VA 2.25% 2,571% Unchanged
5/1 ARM-VA 2.5% 2,392% Unchanged
Prices are provided by our partner network and may not reflect the market. Your rate can be different. Click here for an individual price offer. View our rate assumptions here.

Find a cheap rate and block it (August 14, 2021)

COVID-19 mortgage updates: Mortgage lenders are changing rates and rules due to COVID-19. To learn how the coronavirus could affect your home loan, click here.

Should You Lock A Mortgage Rate Today?

Floating your interest rate remains a high risk tactic. Yes, the falls of the past few days could continue for a while. But it’s hard to find an expert who believes mortgage rates will be much lower. Most expect climbs. And some predict significant ones.

For now, my personal rate lock recommendations will remain the same. But I may have to change them to Lock across the board if things don’t improve:

  • LOCK when close in 7th Days
  • LOCK when close in fifteen Days
  • LOCK when close in 30th Days
  • HOVER when close in 45 Days
  • HOVER when close in 60 Days

However, I do not claim to have perfect foresight. And your personal analysis could be as good as mine – or better. So you can be guided by your instincts and your personal willingness to take risks.

Market Data Affecting Mortgage Rates Today

Here’s a snapshot of the score this morning at around 9:50 a.m. ET. The dates compared to about the same time yesterday were:

  • That 10 year Treasury note yield decreased from 1.37% to 1.34%. (Good for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates usually follow these particular government bond yields
  • Important stock indices were mostly higher shortly after opening. (Bad for mortgage rates.Often times, when investors buy stocks, they sell bonds, which depresses the prices of those stocks and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite can happen when the indices are lower
  • Oil prices fell to $ 69.01 from $ 69.12 a barrel. (Neutral for mortgage rates *.) Energy prices play a major role in the development of inflation and also indicate future economic activity.
  • Gold prices climbed to $ 1,766 from $ 1,747 an ounce. (Neutral for mortgage ratesIn general, it is better for interest when gold rises and worse when gold falls. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy. And worried investors tend to cut rates
  • CNN Business Fear and Greed Indexincreased from 42 to 49 From 100. (Bad for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) when they exit the bond market and invest in stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So lower values ​​are better than higher

* A change of less than $ 20 in gold prices or 40 cents in oil prices is a fraction of 1%. Therefore, when it comes to mortgage rates, we only count meaningful differences as good or bad.

Reservations about markets and prices

Before the pandemic and the Federal Reserve’s interventions in the mortgage market, you could look at the numbers above and make a pretty good guess as to what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that is no longer the case. We still use the phone every day. And they are mostly right. But our record for accuracy won’t hit its old highs until things settle down.

Use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to be able to rely on them. But with this reservation so far Mortgage rates are likely to fall today. Note, however, that “intraday swings” (when prices change direction during the day) are a common feature these days.

Find a cheap rate and block it (August 14, 2021)

Important information about current mortgage rates

Here are some things you need to know:

  1. Usually mortgage rates go up when the economy is doing well and go down when the economy is in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How Mortgage Rates Are Determined and Why You Should Care About It
  2. Only “top notch” borrowers (with great credit scores, high down payments, and very healthy finances) will get the extremely low mortgage rates you see advertised
  3. Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily price action – though they usually all follow the broader trend over time
  4. When the daily price changes are small, some lenders adjust the closing costs and leave their price lists unchanged
  5. The refinancing rates are usually close to those for purchases. And a recent regulatory change has closed a pre-existing loophole

So there is a lot going on here. And no one can claim to know for sure what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks, or months.

Are mortgage and refinancing rates rising or falling?

today etc

Have the markets reached a turning point? CNN Business seems to think so. In her Nightcap e-newsletter last night, she suggested that “we might just be on the summit for pretty much anything”.

Of course not everything. In particular, if bond prices drop from their highs, mortgage rates are likely to rise. Because it is mathematically inevitable that bond prices and bond yields move inversely. And mortgage rates are largely determined by the returns on a bond: the mortgage-backed security (MBS).

Of course, it is not inevitable that mortgage rates will rise. But the evidence is mounting making this the most likely scenario.

And deciding when to set a mortgage rate is about weighing the probabilities of future scenarios. If I were you I wouldn’t hang around But I’m cautious by nature.

For more background information, see Saturday’s weekend edition of this column.

Mortgage Rates and Inflation: Why Are Rates Rising?

Recently

The general trend in mortgage rates was clearly declining for much of 2020. And according to Freddie Mac, a new weekly all-time low was hit 16 times in the past year.

The latest weekly record low was hit on January 7th at 2.65% for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages. But then the trend was reversed and interest rates rose.

However, these increases have been largely replaced by decreases since April, albeit typically small. Freddie’s August 12 report builds on this weekly average 2.87% (with 0.7 Fees and points), high from 2.77% the previous week.

Expert predictions for mortgage rates

Looking ahead, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each have a team of economists devoted to monitoring and forecasting developments in the economy, real estate and mortgage rates.

And here are their current interest rate forecasts for the remaining quarters of 2021 (Q3 / 21 and Q4 / 21) and the first two quarters of 2022 (Q1 / 22 and Q2 / 22).

The numbers in the table below are for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages. Fannies were updated on July 19, Freddies on July 15, and the MBAs on July 21.

Forecasters Q3 / 21 Q4 / 21 Q1 / 22 Q2 / 22
Fannie Mae 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2%
Freddie Mac 3.3% 3.4% 3.5% 3.6%
MBA 3.2% 3.4% 3.8% 4.0%

However, with so many imponderables, current forecasts could be even more speculative than usual.

All of these predictions anticipate higher mortgage rates soon. But the differences between the forecasters are stark. And Fannie may not be involved in curbing Federal Reserve mortgage support while Freddie and the MBA do.

Find your lowest price today

Some lenders have been terrified by the pandemic. And they are limiting their offerings to vanilla-flavored mortgages and refinancing.

But others remain brave. And you can still likely find the refinance, investment mortgage, or jumbo loan you want. All you have to do is look around.

But of course, no matter what type of mortgage you want, you should compare widely. As a federal regulator, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau says:

Shopping for your mortgage has the potential to result in real savings. It may not sound like much, but if you save only a quarter point in interest on your mortgage, you will save thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.

Confirm your new plan (August 14, 2021)

Mortgage rate methodology

The mortgage report receives interest rates from several credit partners on a daily basis according to selected criteria. We’ll find an average interest rate and an APR for each type of loan shown on our chart. By averaging a number of rates, this will give you a better idea of ​​what you might find in the market. In addition, we determine average interest rates for the same types of credit. For example FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of the daily rates and how they change over time.

0 Comments